Latest Supercomputer simulations predict that Oscar Piastri will win the 2025 Formula 1 World Drivers’ Championship ahead of teammate Lando Norris by 19 points, with Max Verstappen mounting a strong but ultimately insufficient late-season charge.
Data experts compiled the model based on form trends, circuit characteristics, and historical data across the final six races and three sprints of the season. Their forecast has Piastri holding firm to secure Australia’s first world title since Alan Jones in 1980.
According to the Supercomputer, Norris will only add one more victory this year, taking the chequered flag in Mexico. Piastri is tipped to win the United States Sprint and the Las Vegas Grand Prix, sealing his championship lead as McLaren continue their dominant campaign.
The projection shows Verstappen rediscovering his top form, winning four of the remaining six races and two sprints. Despite that, the reigning World Champion is predicted to fall short by 31 points behind Piastri, leaving the Dutchman third in the final standings.
Behind the front three, George Russell and Charles Leclerc are both expected to feature on the podium in the closing rounds, but neither is forecast to win a race before the season ends.
The simulation also predicts more difficulty for Lewis Hamilton at Ferrari, with DNFs expected in both the sprint and Grand Prix in Austin. Ferrari’s form is projected to remain inconsistent as the season winds down.
In the midfield, Williams driver Franco Colapinto is expected to finish ninth in Qatar, meaning every driver on the 2025 Formula 1 grid will have scored at least one point this season.
F1 World Drivers’ Championship 2025 Supercomputer