The full title for this piece should be: 'Oscar and Lando catch Max if you can but don't bend your McLarens in the process' - but that's too long!
Round 19 of the
2025 Formula 1 World Championship is in Austin, Texas, for the United States Grand Prix, where Red Bull’s Max Verstappen is back in title-hunt mode and McLaren are sweeping up the mess from their own bad luck-infused, but
ultimately self-inflicted, Sprint Race fiasco on Saturday.
Timesheets show that Verstappen walloped Oscar Piastri and Lando Norris in both the
Sprint Race and
Grand Prix Qualifying at COTA, while the McLaren pair took care of themselves with a collective zero-point haul in the wake of the Turn 1 chaos during Saturday's
Sprint Race.
Their Dutch rival took full advantage of their misfortune, bagging maximum points to narrow the gap on championship leader Piastri to 55. Remember, he was nearly
100 points adrift not too long ago.
This fits neatly into the You-Can’t-Script-This-Stuff narrative, Verstappen conjuring one of the greatest comebacks in Formula 1 history while McLaren risks adding their name to the list of the sport’s most costly meltdowns.
Remember 2007!
From pole, Max should win this one
These days, since the summer break and those
laps around Nurby in a GT3, Verstappen is on that kind of roll where he looks untouchable. Only a mechanical failure or another Turn 1 debacle can stop him today. Red Bull, peaking when it matters most, have found their rhythm and of course, their driver never ceases to amaze. Does he even have a teammate?
McLaren, meanwhile, are managing a growing problem, two Alpha males under immense pressure, both wanting the same thing: to be World Champion. Zak Brown and Andrea Stella are trying to juggle a hot potato that has burned many before them: two equal drivers chasing the same world title with one name on it at the year's end. It never ends well. In modern Formula 1, it simply has not worked. Will it be different now?
For today's race in Texas, Verstappen and Norris share the front row, with Piastri way down in P6. For the front row Boys, it’s a golden chance to disappear into the distance, score maximum points, and let the title leader sweat in the midfield. If McLaren have any sense, they will keep it clean and let Piastri fight his own battles.
The Australian has looked fragile since the second half of the season kicked off.
Baku was wicked for him. This weekend so far hasn’t helped, and only a podium would lift him out of the quagmire he appears to be in. Piastri's biggest enemy at this point might be himself, something his mentor Mark Webber may need to address ASAP.
Ferrari surprised all, including themselves
Ahead of Piastri, Charles Leclerc produced a surprise lap to go P3, lining up directly in front of Ferrari teammate Lewis Hamilton in P5. Beside them, George Russell, starting from P4, continues his solid form, putting the Mercedes firmly in podium contention again. Maybe a sneaky win, even, which is becoming something of the Mercedes driver's trademark.
All said, that’s a tough crowd for Piastri to overcome to make it onto the podium, which has to be his target, and his mission today is clear: damage limitation. It's a big test for the 24-year-old on the occasion of his 65th GP start.
Beyond the first three rows, the fight for points should be intense but contained. Kimi Antonelli will eye a solid top-ten finish, though the 19-year-old has struggled to translate qualifying pace into race results. Learning curve stuff for the impressive Mercedes rookie.
Ollie Bearman again impressed in the Haas, qualifying P8 and comprehensively outperforming teammate Esteban Ocon, who languishes down in P17. I don't expect the rookie to move forward unless those ahead take one another out. Scoring points will be a tough but attainable target for the Briton today.
Sainz thriving at Williams
Carlos Sainz continues to thrive at Williams in the wake of a troublesome early spell with the team. His Sprint podium on Saturday will have boosted confidence, and from P9 he’ll fancy another strong points haul. Fernando Alonso starts close behind, but Aston Martin’s race-day performance fade remains a frustrating theme of 2025 for the veteran.
Outside the top ten, Yuki Tsunoda starts P13 and will be desperate for a points finish as his future hangs in the balance. Similarly, rookie Isack Hadjar starts P19 after crashing before setting a time in Qualifying, another test of maturity for both drivers, albeit for different reasons.
Last on the grid is Lance Stroll, the Aston Martin driver demoted down the order after incurring a penalty in the sprint race after a brainless move on the Haas of Esteban Ocon during the Sprint Race. Stroll had Qualified P18. His best effort was 1.4s down on Alonso's best time.
McLaren’s COTA mission today is simple: stop the rot, keep both cars intact, and deny Verstappen another perfect weekend. The problem? He’s already on a charge, and the papaya pair look like they’re running out of answers.
If the F1 title does slip away, this Austin weekend might be the one that the McLaren boys will regret when watching Verstappen take the spoils under the fireworks of the season finale in Abu Dhabi. It might've been a Mission Impossible not too long ago, but not anymore, and we know Max is Formula 1's Mr Possible!