Las Vegas Grand Prix 2024: Favorites to Win

This 6.201 km track is famous for its complex layout through the streets of Las Vegas, featuring 20 corners and dramatic elevation changes, making it a true test for drivers and teams.

As one of the season’s marquee events, the Las Vegas Grand Prix attracts a massive crowd of fans and a global wave of betting enthusiasts. With the weekend packed with practice sessions, sprint events, and the main race, it serves as a hotbed for betting activity.

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Max Verstappen, the reigning champion and leader of the 2024 standings, comes into the Las Vegas Grand Prix with a +450 odds to win. While he may not have the shortest odds, this reflects the unpredictable nature of the race, particularly given that he has faced tougher competition this season compared to his previous dominant runs.

Despite this, Verstappen remains a favorite. His previous performances at Circuit of the Americas (COTA) have been stellar, securing wins in 2021, 2022, and 2023. The Dutchman’s ability to adapt to various track conditions and deliver under pressure makes him a formidable presence.

Lando Norris has been the season's breakout star, and with his current form, he enters the Las Vegas GP as the odds-on favorite at +110. Norris has been instrumental in McLaren’s resurgence this year, and his recent victories—most notably in Singapore—demonstrate his capability to challenge Verstappen’s supremacy. Norris is still in the hunt for the championship, and a win in Austin would keep his hopes alive​.

McLaren’s improvements in aerodynamics and downforce settings have made them serious contenders on circuits like Las Vegas Strip Circuit. Norris, who thrives on such tracks, will look to capitalize on this.

Oscar Piastri, Norris’s teammate, also features prominently with +450 odds. The young Australian has shown flashes of brilliance throughout the season and is being positioned by McLaren to support Norris’s championship charge. However, Piastri is not merely a support act; he has consistently challenged the top drivers.

Piastri’s advantage comes from his aggressive driving style and quick adaptation to race conditions. McLaren’s double-threat approach could see them dominate the weekend if they qualify strongly and employ strategic teamwork to fend off competitors like Verstappen and Ferrari’s contenders​.

Ferrari’s Charles Leclerc is listed at +650, while his teammate Carlos Sainz has longer odds at +1600. Despite fluctuating results this season, Ferrari has shown significant pace at various points, especially in qualifying. Leclerc has consistently secured podium finishes when the car performs well, but the Scuderia’s main challenge has been translating qualifying speed into race-day success​.

Leclerc’s odds are appealing, especially for those who believe in Ferrari’s potential to pull off a surprise win. Meanwhile, with his longer odds, Sainz could be a valuable underdog bet.

Once the dominant force at COTA, Mercedes enters the race with Lewis Hamilton and George Russell at +1600 odds. Hamilton, a six-time winner in Austin, knows the circuit better than anyone and has historically thrived here. However, Mercedes’ struggle with consistency in 2024 has seen them fall behind McLaren and Red Bull in the pecking order​.

Hamilton’s experience and racecraft could still be a game-changer. If Mercedes finds a setup that maximizes their tire management and straight-line speed, they could surprise the frontrunners. On the other hand, Russell has shown flashes of brilliance but has been plagued by reliability issues. His odds reflect the uncertainty surrounding Mercedes' true pace heading into Austin​.

The 2024 Las Vegas Grand Prix will not just be about raw speed. Strategy, tire management, and the dynamic sprint format will play significant roles. With the sprint race offering early points and crucial data for the main event, teams must balance aggression with caution. For fans and bettors alike, the race promises the usual suspects and various outcomes, with drivers from multiple teams poised to challenge.