sainz to mercedes f1 news

Could Carlos Sainz be the next big F1 move for Mercedes?

sainz to mercedes f1 news

Carlos Sainz Jr. is a Spanish professional racing driver who is currently in his final year at Ferrari before his contract ends.

Lewis Hamilton will join Ferrari, replacing Sainz, who has also been mentioned as one of the most likely candidates to replace the seven-time Formula 1 World Champion at Mercedes.

The 29-year-old is well-known for his determined consistency and for having an excellent relationship with his teammates. Could the race-winning driver be the ideal replacement for Hamilton? Let’s dive in to find out.

Will Carlos Sainz Jr replace Hamilton at Mercedes?

russell wolff hamilton mercedes f1

Many experts believe that Sainz would be the perfect driver to replace Hamilton when he joins Ferrari. However, some of the other names that have also been suggested are the following:

  • Driver: Fernando Alonso. Current F1 team: Aston Martin Aramco Mercedes
  • Driver: Mick Schumacher. Current F1 team: Reserve driver for the Mercedes AMG Formula One Team and McLaren
  • Driver: Max Verstappen. Current F1 team: Red Bull

Frederik Vesti, Esteban Ocon, Sebastian Vettel, and Andrea Kimi Antonelli have also been suggested as possible replacements. However, it looks as though a Sainz-Mercedes partnership will be the most likely scenario.

He won the Australian Grand Prix on March 24, 2024, on the Melbourne Grand Prix Circuit in a time of 1:28 197, which earned him 25 points on the 2024 F1 Driver Standings table. Unfortunately, his Ferrari career hasn’t been as successful as he hoped, with only two wins in three seasons.

Who will win the 2024 Formula 1 Drivers Championship?

Japanese Grand Prix Top Three Press Conference

The quickest, easiest, and most reliable way to find out which F1 racing driver will win the 2024 Formula 1 Drivers Championship outright would be to check the latest odds on trusted iGaming sites like the official BetMGM sportsbook.

This globally renowned online sports betting site is known for having some of the most competitive F1 betting odds, and more details about their current sign-up bonus can be found on’s BetMGM promo page.

If you were to bet on the F1 right now, you would be looking at the latest F1 Drivers Championship outright winner odds:

  • Odds-on favorite to win outright: Max Verstappen. American/moneyline odds: -1,000. Implied probability rate (IPR): 90.90%
  • Second odds-on favorite to win outright: Sergio Perez. American/moneyline odds: +1,400. IPR: 6.70%
  • Third odds-on favorite to win outright: Carlos Sainz. American/moneyline odds: +2,000. IPR: 4.80%
  • Joint-third odds-on favorite to win outright: Charles Leclerc. American/moneyline odds: +2,000. IPR: 4.80%

For Carlos Sainz to win at least two races this season (sprint doesn’t count), you are currently looking at average odds of around -167 (62.50% IPR) or +120 (45.50%) for him NOT to win at least two races.

For him to win at least three races this season (sprint doesn’t count), you are currently looking at average odds of around -225 (30.80% IPR) or +-333 (76.90%) for him not to win at least three races.

Upcoming Formula 1 Grand Prix weekends

Chinese GP

On Sunday, April 21, it’s the Chinese Grand Prix on the Shanghai International Circuit, followed by the Miami Grand Prix on May 5 at the Miami International Autodrome.

Next up on the F1 calendar is the Emilia Romagna Grand Prix on Sunday, May 19, on the Autodromo Enzo e Dino Ferrari, and then on Sunday, May 26, it’s the Monaco Grand Prix on the Circuit de Monaco.

Others to look forward to are the Canadian GP, the Spanish GP, the Austrian GP, and the British GP, to name a few.

Final Thoughts

When Lewis Hamilton leaves Mercedes at the end of this season and Carlos Sainz Jr’s contract expires, there’s a good chance there will be a straight swap. However, nothing is set in stone yet, so we will have to wait and see.

Sainz still has a few years left in him, and he will be looking to win more races at whichever team he joins. Sainz has also been strongly linked with Audi, but others have also suggested he could join team Red Bull.

He will always be remembered as the only non-Red Bull race winner in 2022 and is still an extremely talented driver. His career away from Ferrari would make him the most high-profile free F1 agent, and many feel he would be the best choice for Mercedes.