Is Vettel’s fourth Formula 1 world title a forgone conclusion?

Sebastian Vettel celebrates victory at the end of the Italian GP at Monza

Sebastian Vettel celebrates victory at the end of the Italian GP at Monza

The Formula 1 Championship has said farewell to Europe for another year with the big question being posed – as the mechanics packed up and the trucks left Monza – was when and where, rather than whether, Red Bull‘s Sebastian Vettel will wrap up his increasingly inevitable fourth successive title.

It all comes down to simple mathematics, with the Red Bull driver now 53 points clear of second placed Alonso with seven races, worth a total of 175 points still available to be won.

The 26-year-old German has won half of the races this season and, ominously for his rivals. The last two – Belgium and Italy were supposed to be his bogey circuits – with team principal Christian Horner going so far as to call them Red Bull’s “Achilles heel”.

The next four are Singapore, South Korea, Japan and India. Vettel won all of them last year. The German’s closest rivals have no illusions about their scant chances.

Sebastian Vettel celebrates win number sixth of the season thus far

Sebastian Vettel celebrates win number sixth of the season thus far

Lewis Hamilton’s immediate response after finishing ninth in the race for Mercedes was to declare his championship challenge over, although he then had a rethink and vowed to keep fighting even if the odds were stacked against him.

“I basically need to win every race, which is the tallest order ever, but I can do nothing but try,” said the 2008 champion, who is now third overall but a massive 81 points behind the leader. “I wish it was a closer battle at the front. It’s a shame it is like it is.”

Alonso said it would take a lot of luck for him to overhaul the Red Bull, “I think we need to be realistic about the championship now there’s a very big gap. We don’t have enough races and probably we don’t have the speed right now to win some consecutive races and hope to reduce the gap just by pace.”

Victory at Monxza was Sebastian Vettel 32nd grand prix triumph

Victory at Monxza was Sebastian Vettel 32nd grand prix triumph

“We need to be lucky and we need to have some DNFs (retirements) from Sebastian or something to win the championship. With the races left and the points disadvantage, it’s hard.”

Asked whether it was all over, Horner refused to tempt fate and repeated a familiar mantra.

“The championship is not yours until nobody can score more points than you,” he said. “So we are going to continue the approach that we’ve always taken which is focus one race at a time and try to get the best out of each weekend.

“It’s been a big weekend for us here…for Sebastian to extend his lead in the drivers’ championship and for the team to extend its lead in the constructors’ championship is obviously massively positive for us. But there’s still some way to go.” (Reuters)

Subbed by AJN.

  • Ben

    At this rate it’s not forgone conclusion but by how many points Vettel will win by. It’s quite incredible to win 4 championships at so young an age. Would be nice for Mark to grab a few wins before he leaves F1.

  • Tamburello_1994

    “Victory at Monxza was Sebastian Vettel 32nd grand prix triumph.”

    Nice picture caption.

    This site is getting worse and worse by the day.

    Editor – You need to wake up.

  • Syed

    @Tamburello_1994 oh shut up man.

  • Ukwhite

    Great article by Gary Anderson, a must read today.

  • Snoopy48

    Sadly the combination of Vettel and Newey have made it a foregone conclusion. Lets hope that the rumours of the Mercedes engine having 100hp more than the Renault are true, and that we can get back to interesting motor races, not boring Red Bull dominated processions.

  • Tamburello_1994

    @ Syed

    Make me.

  • Ukwhite

    There is no chance RB know-how to disapear in 2014, smart people always win. Racing is not only about brutal engine power, but aero, driver skills, consistency, determinatin and focus, and team work. In the end, the bulls will prevail since they have everything, including money.

  • =El Presidente=

    @snoopy : those 100bhp extra might not be such of an advantage… it might actually be a Disadvantage.. considering they are only allowed 2/3 of the fuel next yer (100Kg instead of 150Kg this year)

    Unless something weird happens Vettel will storm to 7 consecutive titles.

    I really hope Merc next year blows RB away. im tired of that team, and their fance fake hypocrite ways.

  • realf1fan

    Newey has had winning designed cars in all the decades he has been in F1. From a car moves at velocity Aerodynamics will always play a major part whether it be v6 turbos or v8 2.4 engines.

    The 2014 cars are more about going green than anything else as the 1.6 engines will push out less grams/kmh of co2 and the smaller size engine will make more space for the bigger battery or super capacitor pack to store more energy hence getting more bhp with out the use of fossil fuel.

  • the fan

    what 100hp advantage? — adrian newey(laughing)